Polysage Polymarket intelligence, explained.
Connect wallet Telegram
Back to intelligence

Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Coco Gauff ↑ +1%
Confidence 55%
Price at model run 95¢ Model run: 8/24/2026, 00:00:16
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/24/2026, 00:33:31
Model gpt-5.4-mini

The market is near the top of the plausible range and liquidity is deep, but the current price already reflects most of the known advantage. No clear mispricing remains.

Watch triggers
  • Price at 0.95
  • Small spread, liquid book
  • Recent rally already priced in
Why not now

The market is near the top of the plausible range and liquidity is deep, but the current price already reflects most of the known advantage. No clear mispricing remains.

Revisit when

Price at 0.95 · Small spread, liquid book · Recent rally already priced in

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $442,930. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/24/2026, 00:33:31

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,090,386

Liquidity ?

$442,930

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

70.9%

Volatility ?

2.1%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Coco Gauff

Bids

99.9¢ 364,466.35
99.5¢ 5
99.3¢ 7
99.1¢ 377
99¢ 41,762

Asks

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/24/2026, 00:08:12 96.1¢
8/24/2026, 00:10:13 94.05¢
8/24/2026, 00:12:12 97.8¢
8/24/2026, 00:14:27 97.95¢
8/24/2026, 00:16:12 96.55¢
8/24/2026, 00:18:09 93.25¢
8/24/2026, 00:20:13 85.3¢
8/24/2026, 00:22:10 93.8¢
8/24/2026, 00:24:11 99.95¢
8/24/2026, 00:26:08 99.95¢
8/24/2026, 00:28:08 99.95¢
8/24/2026, 00:30:14 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Coco Gauff ↑ +1% 8/24/2026, 00:00:16

The market is near the top of the plausible range and liquidity is deep, but the current price already reflects most of the known advantage. No clear mispricing remains.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Coco Gauff 8/23/2026, 23:14:54
$138,000 69¢