Unified market view

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Model view: Higher

Leans higher

Model edge Miami Marlins ↑ +8%

Confidence 68%

Price at model run 26¢ Model run: 8/30/2026, 18:04:03

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/30/2026, 19:35:42

Model OpenAI

The Marlins are priced at 0.26 on the latest trade, while the live order book is centered near 0.335 and the opposing outcome near 0.665.

Watch triggers

Latest executable ask remains near 0.34
Marlins price recovers above 0.30
Confirmed starting-pitcher or lineup news

Model basis

The Marlins are priced at 0.26 on the latest trade, while the live order book is centered near 0.335 and the opposing outcome near 0.665.

Invalidation watch

Latest executable ask remains near 0.34 · Marlins price recovers above 0.30 · Confirmed starting-pitcher or lineup news

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $0. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 8/30/2026, 19:35:42

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$415,342

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

106.1%

Volatility ?

15.7%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Miami Marlins

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/30/2026, 19:03:16 98.7¢

8/30/2026, 19:05:15 97.45¢

8/30/2026, 19:07:17 99.55¢

8/30/2026, 19:09:14 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:11:13 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:13:13 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:15:10 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:17:14 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:19:13 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:21:13 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:23:13 99.95¢

8/30/2026, 19:25:14 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Miami Marlins ↑ +8% 8/30/2026, 18:04:03

The latest trade substantially understates the probability implied by the active book, creating a likely short-term pricing dislocation.

Related whale flow

All trades

Sell · Miami Marlins 8/30/2026, 18:55:36

$5,709 92¢

Sell · Miami Marlins 8/30/2026, 18:55:19

$5,328 92¢

Buy · Washington Nationals 8/30/2026, 18:50:48

$8,481 59.28¢

Sell · Washington Nationals 8/30/2026, 18:48:27

$5,390 73¢

Buy · Washington Nationals 8/30/2026, 18:48:24

$8,135 74¢