Model stance Watch Horizon
Short-term Current price
63¢
The current executable midpoint is about 0.485, and the Red Sox price has fallen sharply across the 1-hour and 6-hour windows. Without independent team or starting-pitcher information, the recent move suggests a modestly lower fair probability near 0.475, though the edge is limited.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Sustained trading below 0.48 · Confirmed adverse lineup news · Price recovery above 0.51
Boston Red Sox bearish ↓ Edge
-1% Confidence
58%
The current executable midpoint is about 0.485, and the Red Sox price has fallen sharply across the 1-hour and 6-hour windows. Without independent team or starting-pitcher information, the recent move suggests a modestly lower fair probability near 0.475, though the edge is limited.