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Prediction history

Market #3916079

8/28/2026, 00:00:43 gpt-5.4-mini
Model stance Watch Horizon Short-term Current price 72¢

Slight upside versus current price, driven by supportive depth and strong 24h repricing. Confidence is moderate because the edge is thin and recent momentum has slowed; reassess if the market rever...

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Bid depth exceeds ask depth · Orderbook imbalance favors Gaubas · 24h price up sharply
Vilius Gaubas bullish ↑ Edge +2% Confidence 60%

Market is efficient but slightly underprices Gaubas: top bid/ask and recent flow sit near 0.72-0.74, while orderbook imbalance favors Gaubas and 24h price action is strongly positive. The move has already cooled in the last hour, so edge is small and could fade if match/news context weakens.