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Unified market view

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Atlanta Braves ↓ -1%
Confidence 42%
Price at model run 71¢ Model run: 9/2/2026, 18:04:47
Live best ask 63¢ Live update: 9/2/2026, 19:40:26
Model OpenAI

Atlanta's estimated win probability is about 70%, slightly below the roughly 71% market price. Strong recent upward momentum supports the Braves, but the sharp repricing and heavier ask depth suggest limited remaining edge and some overextension risk.

Watch triggers
  • Price falls below 0.68
  • New starting-pitcher information
  • Braves price breaks above 0.73
Why confirmation is still needed

Atlanta's estimated win probability is about 70%, slightly below the roughly 71% market price. Strong recent upward momentum supports the Braves, but the sharp repricing and heavier ask depth suggest limited remaining edge and some overextension risk.

Revisit when

Price falls below 0.68 · New starting-pitcher information · Braves price breaks above 0.73

Execution guard

Price 63¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $77,591. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/2/2026, 19:40:26

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

63¢

Volume (24h) ?

$303,236

Liquidity ?

$77,591

Open interest ?

$725,152

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

-51.7%

Momentum ?

13.7%

Volatility ?

2.8%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Atlanta Braves

Bids

55¢ 2,556.11
54¢ 13,764.83
53¢ 3,479.72
52¢ 123.9
51¢ 37.5

Asks

56¢ 5,055.89
57¢ 55,731.26
58¢ 1,353.8
59¢ 346.59
60¢ 285.5

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/2/2026, 19:16:12 69.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:18:12 69.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:20:25 69.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:22:12 70.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:24:12 61.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:26:13 51.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:28:12 56.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:30:12 59.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:32:12 59.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:34:12 60.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:36:12 67.5¢
9/2/2026, 19:37:12 66.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Atlanta Braves ↓ -1% 9/2/2026, 18:04:47

The primary outcome appears marginally above fair value after a rapid multi-horizon rally.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.