Polysage Polymarket intelligence, explained.
Connect wallet Telegram
Back to intelligence

Unified market view

US Open WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

View live market Follow alerts Share to X

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap
Execution state
Watch
Model edge Kimberly Birrell → 0%
Confidence 46%
Price at model run 75¢ Model run: 8/31/2026, 18:02:30
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/31/2026, 18:33:24
Model OpenAI

Kimberly Birrell is priced near 0.75 after an exceptionally sharp repricing, while recent volatility and limited independent match information make the fair probability uncertain. No reliable edge is detected at current levels; reassess after new player or injury information.

Watch triggers
  • New injury or withdrawal news
  • Sustained price stabilization
  • Official player information
Why not now

Kimberly Birrell is priced near 0.75 after an exceptionally sharp repricing, while recent volatility and limited independent match information make the fair probability uncertain. No reliable edge is detected at current levels; reassess after new player or injury information.

Revisit when

New injury or withdrawal news · Sustained price stabilization · Official player information

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $721,973. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 8/31/2026, 18:33:24

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$382,284

Liquidity ?

$721,973

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

292.0%

Volatility ?

5.5%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Kimberly Birrell

Bids

99.9¢ 669,572.12
99.5¢ 10
99.1¢ 316
99¢ 9,394.41
98¢ 24,000

Asks

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/31/2026, 18:10:13 91.5¢
8/31/2026, 18:12:10 99.5¢
8/31/2026, 18:14:12 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:16:13 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:18:13 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:20:14 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:22:12 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:24:13 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:26:12 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:28:12 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:30:15 99.95¢
8/31/2026, 18:31:12 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Kimberly Birrell → 0% 8/31/2026, 18:02:30

The market has moved rapidly toward Kimberly Birrell, but the available data does not establish whether the move reflects durable information or short-term momentum.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.