Unified market view

US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap

Execution state

Watch

Model edge Daria Kasatkina → +1%

Confidence 38%

Price at model run 22¢ Model run: 9/2/2026, 00:01:29

Live best ask 23¢ Live update: 9/2/2026, 00:47:04

Model OpenAI

Daria Kasatkina is priced near 22% after a sharp repricing from roughly 46%, while recent trading has stabilized. The modest bid-side imbalance suggests limited recovery potential, but the scale and speed of the decline provide no reliable evidence of a meaningful mispricing.

Watch triggers

New injury or withdrawal news
Price moves below 0.18 or above 0.27
Sustained orderbook imbalance

Why not now

Revisit when

New injury or withdrawal news · Price moves below 0.18 or above 0.27 · Sustained orderbook imbalance

Execution guard

Price 23¢ · spread 2 pts · liquidity $15,173. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/2/2026, 00:47:04

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

23¢

Volume (24h) ?

$291,719

Liquidity ?

$15,173

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

2¢

Depth imbalance ?

-8.6%

Momentum ?

-52.7%

Volatility ?

5.3%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Momentum turning down
Ask depth outweighs bids
Spread within 2¢
Volatility too high

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Daria Kasatkina

Bids

21¢ 2,250.73

20¢ 137

19¢ 953.8

18¢ 1,300.07

17¢ 211.7

Asks

23¢ 1,032.78

24¢ 1,345.7

25¢ 343.8

26¢ 2,569.3

27¢ 478.2

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/2/2026, 00:23:30 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:25:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:27:10 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:29:13 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:31:13 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:33:20 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:35:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:37:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 00:39:14 22¢

9/2/2026, 00:41:10 22¢

9/2/2026, 00:43:14 22¢

9/2/2026, 00:44:13 22¢

Prediction history

Full history

Daria Kasatkina → +1% 9/2/2026, 00:01:29

The market appears broadly efficient after a major repricing, with only a small possible edge and substantial uncertainty about the underlying event.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Paula Badosa 9/1/2026, 22:13:51

$75,793 52¢