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Unified market view

US Open ATP: Quentin Halys vs Facundo Acosta

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Quentin Halys ↓ -2%
Confidence 62%
Price at model run 87¢ Model run: 9/1/2026, 00:04:16
Live best ask 95.9¢ Live update: 9/1/2026, 01:59:43
Model OpenAI

Quentin Halys has strong upward momentum and favorable order-book imbalance, but the price has risen rapidly to 0.87 and may overstate the underlying win probability. The estimated probability is modestly below market, with uncertainty from limited match-specific information.

Watch triggers
  • New injury or withdrawal news
  • Price sustains above 0.90
  • Order-book imbalance reverses
Why confirmation is still needed

Quentin Halys has strong upward momentum and favorable order-book imbalance, but the price has risen rapidly to 0.87 and may overstate the underlying win probability. The estimated probability is modestly below market, with uncertainty from limited match-specific information.

Revisit when

New injury or withdrawal news · Price sustains above 0.90 · Order-book imbalance reverses

Execution guard

Price 95.9¢ · spread 0.8 pts · liquidity $47,721. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/1/2026, 01:59:43

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

95.9¢

Volume (24h) ?

$268,761

Liquidity ?

$47,721

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.7¢

Depth imbalance ?

-8.1%

Momentum ?

30.3%

Volatility ?

2.4%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Quentin Halys

Bids

97¢ 20
96.8¢ 137.5
96.7¢ 800
96.6¢ 5,253.28
96.1¢ 11

Asks

97.7¢ 65.26
97.8¢ 5,227.27
98¢ 388
98.1¢ 342.49
98.2¢ 1,294

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/1/2026, 01:38:11 95.5¢
9/1/2026, 01:40:12 95.6¢
9/1/2026, 01:42:12 95.6¢
9/1/2026, 01:44:12 82¢
9/1/2026, 01:46:12 80.85¢
9/1/2026, 01:48:12 81.45¢
9/1/2026, 01:50:08 81.1¢
9/1/2026, 01:52:12 86.55¢
9/1/2026, 01:54:12 93.55¢
9/1/2026, 01:56:12 96.45¢
9/1/2026, 01:58:11 95.95¢
9/1/2026, 01:59:11 95.75¢

Prediction history

Full history
Quentin Halys ↓ -2% 9/1/2026, 00:04:16

The primary outcome appears slightly overpriced after a sharp multi-period rally.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Quentin Halys 8/31/2026, 22:08:06
$91,675 75.77¢