Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
40¢
Fabian Marozsan trades near 0.40-0.41, while recent momentum is weaker than Michael Zheng's across the daily and weekly windows. Zheng also has stronger top-of-book bid depth. The available data supports a modestly lower fair probability around 0.39, but the edge is small.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Reassess below 0.38 · Reassess above 0.43 · Update on player status
Fabian Marozsan bearish ↓ Edge
-1% Confidence
58%
Fabian Marozsan trades near 0.40-0.41, while recent momentum is weaker than Michael Zheng's across the daily and weekly windows. Zheng also has stronger top-of-book bid depth. The available data supports a modestly lower fair probability around 0.39, but the edge is small.