Unified market view

US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap

Execution state

Watch

Model edge Marcos Giron ↑ +2%

Confidence 42%

Price at model run 41¢ Model run: 9/2/2026, 18:01:19

Live best ask 23¢ Live update: 9/2/2026, 19:43:57

Model OpenAI

Marcos Giron appears modestly undervalued relative to the roughly 0.42 market level, with recent daily recovery partly offset by a sharp weekly decline and strong opposing liquidity. The estimated edge is small and sensitive to price updates.

Watch triggers

Reassess if Giron price moves above 0.48
Reassess on lineup or injury news
Reassess near match start

Why not now

Revisit when

Reassess if Giron price moves above 0.48 · Reassess on lineup or injury news · Reassess near match start

Execution guard

Price 23¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $116,681. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/2/2026, 19:43:57

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

23¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,111,032

Liquidity ?

$116,681

Open interest ?

$855,009

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-4.6%

Momentum ?

-43.0%

Volatility ?

7.9%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Marcos Giron

Bids

22¢ 6,166.17

21¢ 63,953

20¢ 1,475.9

19¢ 7,632.24

18¢ 5,209.5

Asks

23¢ 17,561.58

24¢ 9,919.88

25¢ 62,233.6

26¢ 2,310.82

27¢ 560.1

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/2/2026, 19:18:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:20:27 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:22:13 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:24:13 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:26:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:28:13 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:30:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:32:16 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:34:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:36:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:38:14 22.5¢

9/2/2026, 19:39:13 22.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Marcos Giron ↑ +2% 9/2/2026, 18:01:19

Recent momentum is mixed and the estimated probability advantage is too small to establish a clear divergence after accounting for the spread and uncertainty.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.