Model stance Watch Horizon
Medium-term Current price
34¢
Nuno Borges is estimated near a 33% win probability versus the 34% market price. Recent hourly recovery is offset by persistent six-hour, daily, and weekly declines, leaving no material mispricing after accounting for volatility and the narrow spread.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Reassess after a sustained move outside 0.28-0.38 · Update on player fitness or withdrawal risk · Confirm official match scheduling
Nuno Borges neutral → Edge
-1% Confidence
48%
Nuno Borges is estimated near a 33% win probability versus the 34% market price. Recent hourly recovery is offset by persistent six-hour, daily, and weekly declines, leaving no material mispricing after accounting for volatility and the narrow spread.