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Unified market view

US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy Yes

Model leans higher
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Francisco Comesana ↑ +2%
Confidence 38%
Price at model run 22¢ Model run: 9/1/2026, 18:00:22
Live best ask 49¢ Live update: 9/1/2026, 18:47:09
Model OpenAI

The market has sharply repriced Comesana downward, while substantial bid depth and a recent stabilization near 0.21 provide modest support. The estimated probability is only slightly above the quoted midpoint, with high uncertainty from the abrupt move and limited match-specific information.

Watch triggers
  • Sustained bids above 0.20
  • Price recovery above 0.24
  • Break below 0.19
Why confirmation is still needed

The market has sharply repriced Comesana downward, while substantial bid depth and a recent stabilization near 0.21 provide modest support. The estimated probability is only slightly above the quoted midpoint, with high uncertainty from the abrupt move and limited match-specific information.

Revisit when

Sustained bids above 0.20 · Price recovery above 0.24 · Break below 0.19

Execution guard

Price 49¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $159,068. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/1/2026, 18:47:09

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

49¢

Volume (24h) ?

$2,312,056

Liquidity ?

$159,068

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

-13.2%

Momentum ?

34.1%

Volatility ?

9.9%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Francisco Comesana

Bids

31¢ 8,682.7
30¢ 14,870.74
29¢ 2,333.8
28¢ 705.8
27¢ 532.3

Asks

32¢ 8,922.51
33¢ 17,885.3
34¢ 1,164.2
35¢ 6,380.31
36¢ 994.8

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/1/2026, 18:26:10 25.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:28:12 27.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:30:13 26.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:32:27 30.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:34:09 33.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:36:09 33.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:38:13 46.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:40:14 51¢
9/1/2026, 18:42:09 34¢
9/1/2026, 18:44:12 39.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:46:12 31.5¢
9/1/2026, 18:47:09 27.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Francisco Comesana ↑ +2% 9/1/2026, 18:00:22

Comesana appears marginally underpriced around the current midpoint, but the edge is small and volatility is elevated.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.