Prediction history

Market #3945919

8/31/2026, 18:01:25 OpenAI
Model stance Watch Horizon Medium-term Current price 89.6¢

The market implies an approximately 89.6% chance, while the sustained price surge and stronger bid depth support a slightly higher estimate near 90.0%. However, the extreme recent repricing and elevated short-term volatility make overreaction risk substantial.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers New injury or withdrawal information · Price moves materially below 0.88 · Price sustains above 0.92
Stefanos Tsitsipas bullish ↑ Edge 0% Confidence 35%

The market implies an approximately 89.6% chance, while the sustained price surge and stronger bid depth support a slightly higher estimate near 90.0%. However, the extreme recent repricing and elevated short-term volatility make overreaction risk substantial.