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Unified market view

US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Luciano Darderi ↓ -1%
Confidence 56%
Price at model run 55¢ Model run: 9/3/2026, 18:00:47
Live best ask 51¢ Live update: 9/3/2026, 18:40:47
Model OpenAI

The market is near an even split, but Darderi has declined sharply across the 1-hour, 6-hour, and daily windows. Heavier ask depth and stronger recent momentum for Svrcina suggest Darderi is slightly above fair value, though the price is already near 0.50 and uncertainty remains high.

Watch triggers
  • Sustained bids above 0.52
  • New player or match news
  • Price returns below 0.49
Why confirmation is still needed

The market is near an even split, but Darderi has declined sharply across the 1-hour, 6-hour, and daily windows. Heavier ask depth and stronger recent momentum for Svrcina suggest Darderi is slightly above fair value, though the price is already near 0.50 and uncertainty remains high.

Revisit when

Sustained bids above 0.52 · New player or match news · Price returns below 0.49

Execution guard

Price 51¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $139,523. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/3/2026, 18:40:47

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

51¢

Volume (24h) ?

$888,041

Liquidity ?

$139,523

Open interest ?

$663,262

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

1.4%

Momentum ?

-9.0%

Volatility ?

4.5%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Luciano Darderi

Bids

50¢ 4,607.15
49¢ 26,359.41
48¢ 35,482.45
47¢ 35,563.13
46¢ 32,633.32

Asks

51¢ 43,559.58
52¢ 37,406.98
53¢ 33,126.6
54¢ 15,461.72
55¢ 1,345.2

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/3/2026, 18:15:27 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:17:09 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:19:13 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:21:13 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:23:12 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:25:25 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:27:13 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:29:09 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:31:14 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:33:13 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:35:23 50.5¢
9/3/2026, 18:36:08 50.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Luciano Darderi ↓ -1% 9/3/2026, 18:00:47

Darderi appears marginally overpriced relative to a near-50% fair probability, supported by recent downside momentum and ask-heavy depth.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.