Unified market view

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanov

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Felix Auger-Aliassime ↓ -2%

Confidence 61%

Price at model run 73¢ Model run: 9/3/2026, 18:00:59

Live best ask 68¢ Live update: 9/3/2026, 18:43:20

Model OpenAI

Recent trading has repriced Felix from 0.73 toward a 0.67–0.68 executable range, while Khachanov gained sharply. The orderbook shows modest ask-side pressure for Felix, suggesting a fair probability near 0.66–0.68 rather than the last-trade price; uncertainty remains due to limited match-specific information.

Watch triggers

Revisit if Felix ask falls below 0.65
Revisit on confirmed injury or lineup news
Revisit if Felix retakes 0.72

Why confirmation is still needed

Revisit when

Revisit if Felix ask falls below 0.65 · Revisit on confirmed injury or lineup news · Revisit if Felix retakes 0.72

Execution guard

Price 68¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $122,476. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/3/2026, 18:43:20

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

68¢

Volume (24h) ?

$837,995

Liquidity ?

$122,476

Open interest ?

$500,886

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-0.8%

Momentum ?

-6.9%

Volatility ?

3.1%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Felix Auger-Aliassime

Bids

67¢ 15,092.96

66¢ 9,687.94

65¢ 35,400.21

64¢ 8,906.11

63¢ 7,006.55

Asks

68¢ 27,631.7

69¢ 42,418.89

70¢ 2,953

71¢ 2,574.3

72¢ 1,678.1

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/3/2026, 18:21:14 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:23:13 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:25:26 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:27:14 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:29:10 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:31:16 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:33:14 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:35:25 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:37:28 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:39:10 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:41:14 67.5¢

9/3/2026, 18:42:11 67.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Felix Auger-Aliassime ↓ -2% 9/3/2026, 18:00:59

Felix appears modestly overpriced relative to the current executable market and recent momentum, though the edge is small and could disappear if the orderbook stabilizes or new player information.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.