Rafael Jodar ↓ -1% 9/2/2026, 12:03:56
The primary outcome appears modestly above fair value after a rapid repricing and subsequent stagnation.
Unified market view
US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete Bu
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
Buy No
Model leans lowerExecution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Rafael Jodar ↓ -1%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 90¢ Model run: 9/2/2026, 12:03:56
Live best ask 91¢ Live update: 9/2/2026, 13:30:27
Model OpenAI
Rafael Jodar is priced near 90%, while the recent surge from 80% has stalled and the order book shows substantially heavier sell-side depth. The market may be slightly overconfident, but the strong prevailing price signal limits the estimated edge.
Watch triggers
- New injury, withdrawal, or lineup information
- Sustained move below 0.88 or above 0.92
- Official tournament or ATP update
Why confirmation is still needed
Rafael Jodar is priced near 90%, while the recent surge from 80% has stalled and the order book shows substantially heavier sell-side depth. The market may be slightly overconfident, but the strong prevailing price signal limits the estimated edge.
Revisit when
New injury, withdrawal, or lineup information · Sustained move below 0.88 or above 0.92 · Official tournament or ATP update
Execution guard
Price 91¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $145,278. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 9/2/2026, 13:30:27
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
91¢Volume (24h) ?
$246,395Liquidity ?
$145,278Open interest ?
$193,584Spread ?
1¢Depth imbalance ?
-39.8%Momentum ?
1.1%Volatility ?
0.1%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- No strong edge detected
Rule notes
- No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.
Orderbook
Outcome Rafael Jodar
Bids
90¢ 18,769.65
89¢ 2,419.55
88¢ 67,985.38
87¢ 2,202
86¢ 251
Asks
91¢ 10,493.62
92¢ 49,096.75
93¢ 93,056.28
94¢ 54,531
95¢ 5,440
Price history
Interval: 6h
9/2/2026, 13:08:14 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:10:15 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:12:20 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:14:14 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:16:14 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:18:11 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:20:11 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:22:10 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:24:28 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:26:11 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:28:14 90.5¢
9/2/2026, 13:29:15 90.5¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.