The primary outcome appears marginally above fair value after an unusually sharp repricing, so downside mean reversion is plausible.
Unified market view
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
Buy No
Model leans lowerThe Mets are priced near 97.5% and recent price action, strong bid-side depth, and the opposing Marlins repricing support a probability around 97.8%. The remaining edge is small because the market is already highly concentrated and vulnerable to late news or model overreaction.
- Mets price rises above 98.5%
- Confirmed starting-pitcher or lineup changes
- Material postponement or weather news
The Mets are priced near 97.5% and recent price action, strong bid-side depth, and the opposing Marlins repricing support a probability around 97.8%. The remaining edge is small because the market is already highly concentrated and vulnerable to late news or model overreaction.
Mets price rises above 98.5% · Confirmed starting-pitcher or lineup changes · Material postponement or weather news
Price 93.9¢ · spread 0.8 pts · liquidity $12,053. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 9/9/2026, 00:50:50
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
93.9¢Volume (24h) ?
$323,941Liquidity ?
$12,053Open interest ?
$455,026Spread ?
0.3¢Depth imbalance ?
-45.0%Momentum ?
88.9%Volatility ?
3.0%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome New York Mets
Bids
Asks
Price history
Interval: 6h
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.