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Unified market view

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge New York Mets ↑ 0%
Confidence 56%
Price at model run 97.5¢ Model run: 9/9/2026, 00:00:59
Live best ask 93.9¢ Live update: 9/9/2026, 00:50:50
Model OpenAI

The Mets are priced near 97.5% and recent price action, strong bid-side depth, and the opposing Marlins repricing support a probability around 97.8%. The remaining edge is small because the market is already highly concentrated and vulnerable to late news or model overreaction.

Watch triggers
  • Mets price rises above 98.5%
  • Confirmed starting-pitcher or lineup changes
  • Material postponement or weather news
Why confirmation is still needed

The Mets are priced near 97.5% and recent price action, strong bid-side depth, and the opposing Marlins repricing support a probability around 97.8%. The remaining edge is small because the market is already highly concentrated and vulnerable to late news or model overreaction.

Revisit when

Mets price rises above 98.5% · Confirmed starting-pitcher or lineup changes · Material postponement or weather news

Execution guard

Price 93.9¢ · spread 0.8 pts · liquidity $12,053. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/9/2026, 00:50:50

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

93.9¢

Volume (24h) ?

$323,941

Liquidity ?

$12,053

Open interest ?

$455,026

Spread ?

0.3¢

Depth imbalance ?

-45.0%

Momentum ?

88.9%

Volatility ?

3.0%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome New York Mets

Bids

92.2¢ 536
91.8¢ 11
91.4¢ 27
91.1¢ 3,722.57
91¢ 4,575.6

Asks

92.5¢ 3,681.58
92.7¢ 3,585.77
92.8¢ 36
92.9¢ 20.5
93¢ 16,090

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/9/2026, 00:24:14 92.4¢
9/9/2026, 00:26:11 91.9¢
9/9/2026, 00:28:14 92.45¢
9/9/2026, 00:30:15 92.15¢
9/9/2026, 00:32:27 91.35¢
9/9/2026, 00:34:14 90.55¢
9/9/2026, 00:36:11 90.15¢
9/9/2026, 00:38:15 90.2¢
9/9/2026, 00:40:22 88.85¢
9/9/2026, 00:42:11 82.05¢
9/9/2026, 00:44:14 87.6¢
9/9/2026, 00:45:15 87.85¢

Prediction history

Full history
New York Mets ↑ 0% 9/9/2026, 00:00:59

The primary outcome appears marginally above fair value after an unusually sharp repricing, so downside mean reversion is plausible.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.