Botic van de Zandschulp ↑ +3% 9/4/2026, 00:00:42
Model probability is modestly above the 0.75 market price, though confidence is restrained by the unusually rapid repricing and absence of match-specific fundamentals.
Unified market view
US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
Buy Yes
Model leans higherExecution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Botic van de Zandschulp ↑ +3%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 75¢ Model run: 9/4/2026, 00:00:42
Live best ask 99.2¢ Live update: 9/4/2026, 00:49:37
Model OpenAI
The market has repriced sharply from roughly 0.20 to 0.75 across the latest day, consistent with strong new information favoring Botic. The current price may still modestly understate his chance, but the extreme momentum and limited event context create meaningful reversal and information-quality risk.
Watch triggers
- Price falls below 0.70
- Material player or injury news
- Sustained orderbook reversal
Why confirmation is still needed
The market has repriced sharply from roughly 0.20 to 0.75 across the latest day, consistent with strong new information favoring Botic. The current price may still modestly understate his chance, but the extreme momentum and limited event context create meaningful reversal and information-quality risk.
Revisit when
Price falls below 0.70 · Material player or injury news · Sustained orderbook reversal
Execution guard
Price 99.2¢ · spread 1.1 pts · liquidity $114,444. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 9/4/2026, 00:49:37
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
99.2¢Volume (24h) ?
$662,858Liquidity ?
$114,444Open interest ?
$441,723Spread ?
1.1¢Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
258.4%Volatility ?
5.8%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Botic van de Zandschulp
Bids
99.9¢ 200,566.69
99.8¢ 249.99
99.1¢ 654
99¢ 34,388.75
98.3¢ 350
Asks
Price history
Interval: 6h
9/4/2026, 00:27:10 85.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:29:14 90.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:31:13 90.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:33:13 92.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:35:13 94.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:37:09 94.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:39:13 98.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:41:13 99.5¢
9/4/2026, 00:43:28 99.65¢
9/4/2026, 00:45:14 98.25¢
9/4/2026, 00:47:14 98.45¢
9/4/2026, 00:48:14 98.55¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.