Unified market view

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Hold: Efficient price

Execution state

Watch

Model edge Ben Shelton → 0%

Confidence 55%

Price at model run 89¢ Model run: 9/7/2026, 00:00:18

Live best ask 98.9¢ Live update: 9/7/2026, 00:51:15

Model OpenAI

Ben Shelton is priced near 0.89 after a sharp rise across all observed horizons. The momentum supports his current lead, but the move leaves limited evidence of additional mispricing; the estimate remains close to market-implied probability.

Watch triggers

Reassess if price moves materially away from 0.89
Reassess after injury or lineup news
Reassess when match conditions are confirmed

Why not now

Revisit when

Reassess if price moves materially away from 0.89 · Reassess after injury or lineup news · Reassess when match conditions are confirmed

Execution guard

Price 98.9¢ · spread 0.4 pts · liquidity $146,307. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/7/2026, 00:51:15

Model stance

Leans higher

Best ask ?

98.9¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,396,040

Liquidity ?

$146,307

Open interest ?

$1,280,419

Spread ?

0.3¢

Depth imbalance ?

39.9%

Momentum ?

37.3%

Volatility ?

1.2%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Momentum turning up
Bid depth outweighs asks
Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Ben Shelton

Bids

98.6¢ 12.15

98.5¢ 12,956.59

98.2¢ 6

98.1¢ 25

98¢ 21,629

Asks

98.9¢ 13,615.94

99¢ 1,175

99.2¢ 25

99.3¢ 33

99.7¢ 12

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/7/2026, 00:26:14 94.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:28:30 94.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:30:16 95.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:32:11 95.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:34:10 95.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:36:16 94.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:38:15 94.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:40:15 96.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:42:14 96.5¢

9/7/2026, 00:44:13 97.85¢

9/7/2026, 00:46:14 98.3¢

9/7/2026, 00:47:14 98.15¢

Prediction history

Full history

Ben Shelton → 0% 9/7/2026, 00:00:18

Price action strongly favors Ben Shelton, but the market already reflects that repricing and offers no clear remaining divergence.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Ben Shelton 9/6/2026, 23:18:06

$80,300 73¢

Buy · Stefanos Tsitsipas 9/6/2026, 22:52:36

$107,768 28¢