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Unified market view

US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Karen Khachanov ↓ -2%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 37¢ Model run: 9/7/2026, 12:00:33
Live best ask 37¢ Live update: 9/7/2026, 12:47:58
Model OpenAI

The market prices Khachanov near 37%, while his probability appears modestly lower at about 35%. The recent 6-hour and weekly declines support a slight bearish bias, though strong liquidity and bid support limit conviction.

Watch triggers
  • Price below 35%
  • Material player news
  • Orderbook imbalance reversal
Why confirmation is still needed

The market prices Khachanov near 37%, while his probability appears modestly lower at about 35%. The recent 6-hour and weekly declines support a slight bearish bias, though strong liquidity and bid support limit conviction.

Revisit when

Price below 35% · Material player news · Orderbook imbalance reversal

Execution guard

Price 37¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $551,632. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/7/2026, 12:47:58

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

37¢

Volume (24h) ?

$254,803

Liquidity ?

$551,632

Open interest ?

$255,331

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

39.5%

Momentum ?

0.0%

Volatility ?

0.3%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Karen Khachanov

Bids

36¢ 479,290.6
35¢ 296,646.9
34¢ 40,868.46
33¢ 17,074.47
32¢ 4,315.45

Asks

37¢ 127,126.56
38¢ 10,271.17
39¢ 208,372.18
40¢ 16,740.85
41¢ 891.8

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/7/2026, 12:26:09 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:28:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:30:16 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:32:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:34:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:36:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:38:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:40:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:42:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:44:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:46:13 36.5¢
9/7/2026, 12:47:10 36.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Karen Khachanov ↓ -2% 9/7/2026, 12:00:33

Khachanov appears slightly above estimated fair value, with recent momentum favoring Tien.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.