The primary outcome appears modestly below estimated fair value after a rapid repricing.
Unified market view
Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
Model leans higher
Watch triggerHouston Astros is priced near 0.28 after an unusually sharp decline across the 1-hour and 6-hour windows. The move may reflect overshooting, giving a modest estimated probability advantage, though strong recent momentum and balanced liquidity keep uncertainty material.
- Reassess below 0.25
- Reassess above 0.35
- Check for confirmed lineup or pitcher news
Houston Astros is priced near 0.28 after an unusually sharp decline across the 1-hour and 6-hour windows. The move may reflect overshooting, giving a modest estimated probability advantage, though strong recent momentum and balanced liquidity keep uncertainty material.
Reassess below 0.25 · Reassess above 0.35 · Check for confirmed lineup or pitcher news
Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity $126,725. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 9/13/2026, 01:11:34
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
0.1¢Volume (24h) ?
$532,858Liquidity ?
$126,725Open interest ?
$375,314Spread ?
—Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
-99.9%Volatility ?
15.1%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Houston Astros
Bids
Asks
Price history
Interval: 6h
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.