Unified market view

US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Hold: Efficient price

Execution state

Watch

Model edge Frances Tiafoe → 0%

Confidence 58%

Price at model run 58¢ Model run: 9/8/2026, 18:00:44

Live best ask 58¢ Live update: 9/8/2026, 18:25:53

Model OpenAI

The market prices Frances Tiafoe near 58%, while recent movement is mixed: a weekly decline contrasts with a modest daily recovery and a flat six-hour trend. Orderbook depth is substantial but slightly favors asks, so no reliable divergence from the current price is evident.

Watch triggers

Sustained move beyond the 0.57-0.58 range
Significant orderbook imbalance
Official player or match-status news

Why not now

Revisit when

Sustained move beyond the 0.57-0.58 range · Significant orderbook imbalance · Official player or match-status news

Execution guard

Price 58¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $982,665. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/8/2026, 18:25:53

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

58¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,552,614

Liquidity ?

$982,665

Open interest ?

$1,167,883

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-70.0%

Momentum ?

0.0%

Volatility ?

0.4%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Frances Tiafoe

Bids

57¢ 79,417.36

56¢ 66,722.49

55¢ 6,268.2

54¢ 5,398.9

53¢ 3,337.6

Asks

58¢ 597,483.01

59¢ 115,188.51

60¢ 103,149.62

61¢ 29,049.55

62¢ 68,989.28

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/8/2026, 17:56:14 57.5¢

9/8/2026, 17:58:13 57.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:00:18 57.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:07:32 57.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:09:14 57.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:11:13 57.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:13:29 58.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:15:14 58.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:17:13 58.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:19:14 58.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:21:14 58.5¢

9/8/2026, 18:23:13 57.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Frances Tiafoe → 0% 9/8/2026, 18:00:44

No clear mispricing is supported by the mixed momentum and balanced, liquid orderbook.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Alex Michelsen 9/8/2026, 16:52:42

$65,333 42¢

Buy · Alex Michelsen 9/8/2026, 16:51:48

$204,728 41.88¢