Unified market view

Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Buy No

Model leans lower

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Thiago Seyboth Wild ↓ -1%

Confidence 58%

Price at model run 56.7¢ Model run: 9/8/2026, 12:04:45

Live best ask 55.2¢ Live update: 9/8/2026, 13:55:22

Model OpenAI

The executable market level is about 0.542, while the recent six-hour collapse and strong rebound in Ferrari's price suggest Wild may be modestly overvalued after a rapid repricing. Volatility is elevated, so the edge remains small and should be revisited as new match information arrives.

Watch triggers

Reassess if Wild falls below 0.52
Reassess on confirmed player news
Reassess if volatility subsides

Why confirmation is still needed

Revisit when

Reassess if Wild falls below 0.52 · Reassess on confirmed player news · Reassess if volatility subsides

Execution guard

Price 55.2¢ · spread 0.2 pts · liquidity $79,765. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/8/2026, 13:55:22

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

55.2¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,522,860

Liquidity ?

$79,765

Open interest ?

$234,008

Spread ?

6.6¢

Depth imbalance ?

-4.6%

Momentum ?

-34.8%

Volatility ?

7.2%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Thiago Seyboth Wild

Bids

58.3¢ 28.57

55.1¢ 1,081.19

55¢ 1,000

54.4¢ 1,000

54.3¢ 1,054.85

Asks

64.9¢ 79.99

65¢ 2,307.68

66.9¢ 865

67¢ 1,300

72¢ 13.88

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/8/2026, 13:30:16 54.55¢

9/8/2026, 13:32:18 54.55¢

9/8/2026, 13:34:13 54.55¢

9/8/2026, 13:36:11 54.45¢

9/8/2026, 13:38:14 54.45¢

9/8/2026, 13:40:15 54.45¢

9/8/2026, 13:42:14 55.2¢

9/8/2026, 13:44:14 55.25¢

9/8/2026, 13:46:11 55.25¢

9/8/2026, 13:48:10 55.2¢

9/8/2026, 13:50:15 55.1¢

9/8/2026, 13:51:14 55.1¢

Prediction history

Full history

Thiago Seyboth Wild ↓ -1% 9/8/2026, 12:04:45

Wild appears slightly above estimated fair probability after a sharp downward repricing, but the signal is uncertain because the move is unusually volatile and recent prices are converging quickly.

Related whale flow

All trades

Sell · Thiago Seyboth Wild 9/8/2026, 11:01:43

$111,376 52.72¢