Prediction history

Market #4437638

9/16/2026, 18:05:56 OpenAI
Model stance Watch Horizon Short-term Current price 18¢

The market assigns roughly an 18% chance after a sharp, sustained decline from about 50%. Strong recent bearish momentum is offset by substantial bid depth near the current price, so the available data does not establish a reliable divergence from fair value.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Break below 0.16 · Sustained recovery above 0.22 · Confirmed lineup or pitcher news
Chicago White Sox neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 58%

The market assigns roughly an 18% chance after a sharp, sustained decline from about 50%. Strong recent bearish momentum is offset by substantial bid depth near the current price, so the available data does not establish a reliable divergence from fair value.