Model stance Watch Horizon
Short-term Current price
18¢
The market assigns roughly an 18% chance after a sharp, sustained decline from about 50%. Strong recent bearish momentum is offset by substantial bid depth near the current price, so the available data does not establish a reliable divergence from fair value.
Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望
Triggers Break below 0.16 · Sustained recovery above 0.22 · Confirmed lineup or pitcher news
Chicago White Sox neutral → Edge
0% Confidence
58%
The market assigns roughly an 18% chance after a sharp, sustained decline from about 50%. Strong recent bearish momentum is offset by substantial bid depth near the current price, so the available data does not establish a reliable divergence from fair value.