Baltimore Orioles ↓ -1% 9/17/2026, 00:00:50
The primary outcome appears slightly above fair value after an abrupt repricing, though deep liquidity and strong momentum limit conviction.
Unified market view
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Model direction
Model leans lower
Hold: Efficient priceExecution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Baltimore Orioles ↓ -1%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 93¢ Model run: 9/17/2026, 00:00:50
Live best ask 99.9¢ Live update: 9/17/2026, 01:56:35
Model OpenAI
Baltimore is priced at 0.93 after an unusually sharp rise from roughly 0.48 within a day. The move supports a strong current favorite status, but momentum and limited event-specific information suggest a modest overpricing; estimated fair probability is near 0.92.
Watch triggers
- Confirmed starting-pitcher news
- Material lineup or injury update
- Price sustains above 0.95
Why confirmation is still needed
Baltimore is priced at 0.93 after an unusually sharp rise from roughly 0.48 within a day. The move supports a strong current favorite status, but momentum and limited event-specific information suggest a modest overpricing; estimated fair probability is near 0.92.
Revisit when
Confirmed starting-pitcher news · Material lineup or injury update · Price sustains above 0.95
Execution guard
Price 99.9¢ · spread 0.6 pts · liquidity $98,380. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.
Summary
Updated at 9/17/2026, 01:56:35
Model stance
WatchBest ask ?
99.9¢Volume (24h) ?
$727,015Liquidity ?
$98,380Open interest ?
$695,490Spread ?
0¢Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
109.7%Volatility ?
2.8%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- No strong edge detected
Rule notes
- No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.
Orderbook
Outcome Baltimore Orioles
Bids
99.9¢ 2,622.91
99.8¢ 1,979.96
99.3¢ 321
99.2¢ 200
99.1¢ 399.04
Asks
Price history
Interval: 6h
9/17/2026, 01:31:11 98.4¢
9/17/2026, 01:33:10 98.5¢
9/17/2026, 01:35:10 98.7¢
9/17/2026, 01:37:15 99.2¢
9/17/2026, 01:39:14 99.2¢
9/17/2026, 01:41:13 99.2¢
9/17/2026, 01:43:10 99.25¢
9/17/2026, 01:45:11 99.65¢
9/17/2026, 01:47:10 99.7¢
9/17/2026, 01:49:13 99.6¢
9/17/2026, 01:51:13 99.6¢
9/17/2026, 01:52:10 99.6¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesBuy · Baltimore Orioles 9/16/2026, 23:07:15
$64,874 48¢