Unified market view

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

View live market Follow alerts Share to X

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Model leans lower

Watch trigger

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Boston Red Sox ↓ -3%

Confidence 62%

Price at model run 82¢ Model run: 9/19/2026, 00:04:04

Live best ask 93.7¢ Live update: 9/19/2026, 01:45:38

Model OpenAI

Boston's implied probability has surged from roughly 0.45 to 0.82 across the latest sessions, while the orderbook shows substantial opposing sell depth.

Watch triggers

Reassess above 0.85
Reassess below 0.75
Check confirmed lineups and pitchers

Why confirmation is still needed

Boston's implied probability has surged from roughly 0.45 to 0.82 across the latest sessions, while the orderbook shows substantial opposing sell depth.

Revisit when

Reassess above 0.85 · Reassess below 0.75 · Check confirmed lineups and pitchers

Execution guard

Price 93.7¢ · spread 0.4 pts · liquidity $69,566. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/19/2026, 01:45:38

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

93.7¢

Volume (24h) ?

$442,263

Liquidity ?

$69,566

Open interest ?

$601,011

Spread ?

0.6¢

Depth imbalance ?

-56.4%

Momentum ?

111.3%

Volatility ?

5.2%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Boston Red Sox

Bids

93.5¢ 65

93.4¢ 1,300

93.3¢ 1,000

93¢ 188.94

92.2¢ 1,355.75

Asks

94.1¢ 10

94.8¢ 5

94.9¢ 252.37

95¢ 12,738.19

95.6¢ 1,000

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/19/2026, 01:24:15 94¢

9/19/2026, 01:26:16 93.5¢

9/19/2026, 01:28:14 94¢

9/19/2026, 01:30:16 93.5¢

9/19/2026, 01:32:14 94¢

9/19/2026, 01:34:15 97.5¢

9/19/2026, 01:36:18 97.6¢

9/19/2026, 01:38:16 97.5¢

9/19/2026, 01:40:11 96.35¢

9/19/2026, 01:42:11 95.9¢

9/19/2026, 01:44:14 96.35¢

9/19/2026, 01:45:15 94.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

Boston Red Sox ↓ -3% 9/19/2026, 00:04:04

The primary outcome appears modestly above estimated fair value after an unusually rapid repricing.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Under 9/18/2026, 22:36:04

$115,864 57¢