Polysage Polymarket intelligence, explained.
Connect wallet Telegram
Back to intelligence

Unified market view

Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

View live market Follow alerts Share to X

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Model leans higher

Hold: Efficient price
Execution state
Needs confirmation
Model edge Minnesota Twins ↓ -1%
Confidence 58%
Price at model run 48¢ Model run: 9/20/2026, 00:03:33
Live best ask 44¢ Live update: 9/20/2026, 01:46:48
Model OpenAI

The Twins price is 0.48, while sustained six-hour, one-day, and one-week declines indicate weakening support. Balanced liquidity and the narrow spread limit conviction, so the estimated probability is only modestly below market pricing.

Watch triggers
  • Reassess if Twins price falls below 0.45
  • Reassess on confirmed lineup or pitcher news
  • Reassess if the trend reverses above 0.50
Why confirmation is still needed

The Twins price is 0.48, while sustained six-hour, one-day, and one-week declines indicate weakening support. Balanced liquidity and the narrow spread limit conviction, so the estimated probability is only modestly below market pricing.

Revisit when

Reassess if Twins price falls below 0.45 · Reassess on confirmed lineup or pitcher news · Reassess if the trend reverses above 0.50

Execution guard

Price 44¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $102,942. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/20/2026, 01:46:48

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

44¢

Volume (24h) ?

$326,971

Liquidity ?

$102,942

Open interest ?

$267,571

Spread ?

2¢

Depth imbalance ?

21.4%

Momentum ?

-14.1%

Volatility ?

0.6%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • No strong edge detected

Rule notes

  • No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Minnesota Twins

Bids

44¢ 11,358.04
43¢ 5,254.33
42¢ 5,691.47
41¢ 2,000
40¢ 50

Asks

46¢ 388
47¢ 9,896.83
48¢ 5,373
49¢ 50
50¢ 55

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/20/2026, 01:24:11 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:26:14 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:28:13 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:30:15 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:32:14 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:34:14 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:36:17 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:38:14 47.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:40:14 45.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:42:14 43.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:44:14 42.5¢
9/20/2026, 01:45:15 42.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Minnesota Twins ↓ -1% 9/20/2026, 00:03:33

The primary outcome appears slightly above fair value after a persistent downward repricing trend, but the edge is small and market depth is substantial.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.