Unified market view

Valencia: Guiomar Maristany vs Marina Bassols Ribera

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

View live market Follow alerts Share to X

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Model leans higher

Data gap

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Guiomar Maristany ↓ -1%

Confidence 46%

Price at model run 65¢ Model run: 9/17/2026, 12:01:06

Live best ask 66¢ Live update: 9/17/2026, 13:40:47

Model OpenAI

The 0.65 market price is broadly supported by strong one-day and one-week gains, but the recent one-hour pullback and elevated volatility suggest a modest overpricing. With no independent player or scheduling information, estimated fair probability is near 0.64.

Watch triggers

Price falls below 0.62
Price rises above 0.67
New player or scheduling information

Why confirmation is still needed

Revisit when

Price falls below 0.62 · Price rises above 0.67 · New player or scheduling information

Execution guard

Price 66¢ · spread 3 pts · liquidity $59,373. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/17/2026, 13:40:47

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

66¢

Volume (24h) ?

$344,358

Liquidity ?

$59,373

Open interest ?

$134,294

Spread ?

4¢

Depth imbalance ?

-12.0%

Momentum ?

15.2%

Volatility ?

1.2%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Guiomar Maristany

Bids

62¢ 221.16

61¢ 1,048

60¢ 1,291

59¢ 635

58¢ 6

Asks

66¢ 10

67¢ 1,248

68¢ 2,013.58

69¢ 382

70¢ 423

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/17/2026, 13:17:10 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:19:13 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:21:12 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:23:09 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:25:12 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:27:10 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:29:12 63.5¢

9/17/2026, 13:31:13 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:33:12 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:35:09 65.5¢

9/17/2026, 13:37:12 64¢

9/17/2026, 13:38:13 64.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Guiomar Maristany ↓ -1% 9/17/2026, 12:01:06

The primary outcome appears marginally below fair value after a sharp repricing, though the edge is small and uncertain.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.