Unified market view

Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

View live market Follow alerts Share to X

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap

Execution state

Watch

Model edge Washington Nationals → 0%

Confidence 45%

Price at model run 39.5¢ Model run: 9/23/2026, 18:00:31

Live best ask 75¢ Live update: 9/23/2026, 18:53:14

Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · this model version needs at least 30 resolved samples, Brier score ≤ 0.25, and a lower Brier score than the market baseline

Model OpenAI

The Nationals are quoted around 42–43%, but the supplied history and current quote are not fully aligned and show sharp recent repricing. Without confirmed starters, lineups, or other game-specific evidence, there is no defensible adjustment to market-implied odds.

Watch triggers

Confirm starting pitchers and lineups
Check weather and late scratches
Reassess when quotes align

Why not now

Revisit when

Confirm starting pitchers and lineups · Check weather and late scratches · Reassess when quotes align

Execution guard

Price 75¢ · spread 9 pts · liquidity $29,777. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/23/2026, 18:53:14

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Watch

Best ask ?

75¢

Volume (24h) ?

$3,853,845

Liquidity ?

$29,777

Open interest ?

$3,593,691

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

38.0%

Momentum ?

88.3%

Volatility ?

5.4%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Momentum turning up
Bid depth outweighs asks
Spread within 2¢
Volatility too high

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Washington Nationals

Bids

76¢ 25,089.28

75¢ 2,828.21

74¢ 13,268.69

73¢ 8,524.65

72¢ 4,100

Asks

77¢ 2,359.27

78¢ 14,209.14

79¢ 7,492.24

81¢ 125

82¢ 10

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/23/2026, 18:31:13 37.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:33:09 38.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:35:13 43.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:37:13 56.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:39:13 66.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:41:13 65¢

9/23/2026, 18:43:09 60¢

9/23/2026, 18:45:09 81.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:47:10 82.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:49:14 74.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:51:13 74.5¢

9/23/2026, 18:52:09 72.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Washington Nationals → 0% 9/23/2026, 18:00:31

No clear divergence from fair value can be established from these data alone.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Detroit Tigers 9/23/2026, 15:26:07

$330,125 64¢

Buy · Detroit Tigers 9/23/2026, 15:26:07

$729,888 63¢

Buy · Detroit Tigers 9/23/2026, 15:14:14

$67,579 59¢

Buy · Detroit Tigers 9/23/2026, 15:14:14

$143,825 60¢