Prediction history

Market #4978475

9/30/2026, 00:08:13 OpenAI
Model stance Watch Horizon Medium-term Current price 45.5¢

The quote implies roughly 46.5%, and the available data lacks starter, lineup, and injury information to justify a different fair probability. Recent price gains and bid depth are supportive but not sufficient evidence of an edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Reassess when probable starters and lineups are known. · Review if new injury or bullpen information emerges. · Revisit sustained price moves backed by matchup news.
Boston Red Sox neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 24%

The quote implies roughly 46.5%, and the available data lacks starter, lineup, and injury information to justify a different fair probability. Recent price gains and bid depth are supportive but not sufficient evidence of an edge.