Prediction history

Market #4978501

10/1/2026, 00:01:12 OpenAI
Model stance Watch Horizon Medium-term Current price 44.5¢

The 44.5% market price appears broadly reasonable given the limited matchup information; recent downward movement is offset by stronger visible bid depth, neither of which establishes a reliable edge. Starting pitchers and lineups could change the estimate.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Confirmed starting pitchers and lineups · Sustained price move beyond the recent range · Material change in order-book imbalance
Boston Red Sox neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 28%

The 44.5% market price appears broadly reasonable given the limited matchup information; recent downward movement is offset by stronger visible bid depth, neither of which establishes a reliable edge. Starting pitchers and lineups could change the estimate.