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Unified market view

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap
Execution state
No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence —
Price at model run — Model run: —
Live best ask 75¢ Live update: 10/16/2026, 19:55:13
Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · matching snapshot or live orderbook data is missing
Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 75¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $110,262. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 10/16/2026, 19:55:13

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Leans lower

Best ask ?

75¢

Volume (24h) ?

$133,370

Liquidity ?

$110,262

Open interest ?

$62,896

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-65.4%

Momentum ?

-3.9%

Volatility ?

0.5%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning down
  • Ask depth outweighs bids
  • Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

74¢ 4,036.69
73¢ 14,732.74
72¢ 20,007.88
71¢ 3,566
70¢ 308

Asks

75¢ 1,636.69
76¢ 14,283.5
77¢ 80,950.56
78¢ 56,538
79¢ 50,829.13

Price history

Interval: 6h

10/16/2026, 19:31:40 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:33:24 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:35:39 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:37:18 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:39:25 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:41:24 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:43:18 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:45:40 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:47:25 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:49:25 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:51:24 74.5¢
10/16/2026, 19:52:25 74.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Yes 10/16/2026, 11:44:45
$16,157 78¢
Buy · Yes 10/16/2026, 08:41:48
$10,272 77¢