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Unified market view

Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Mia Pohankova

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Hold: Efficient price
Execution state
Watch
Model edge Iva Jovic → 0%
Confidence 61%
Price at model run 50.5¢ Model run: 10/12/2026, 06:00:37
Live best ask 51¢ Live update: 10/12/2026, 06:52:08
Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · this model version needs at least 30 resolved samples, Brier score ≤ 0.25, and a lower Brier score than the market baseline
Model OpenAI

The market has repriced sharply from 84.5% to about 50.5%, then stabilized with nearly balanced order-book depth. Without player-specific evidence to justify a probability away from the market, no edge is detected.

Watch triggers
  • Credible player or match updates
  • Sustained move away from 50%
Why not now

The market has repriced sharply from 84.5% to about 50.5%, then stabilized with nearly balanced order-book depth. Without player-specific evidence to justify a probability away from the market, no edge is detected.

Revisit when

Credible player or match updates · Sustained move away from 50%

Execution guard

Price 51¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $101,879. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 10/12/2026, 06:52:08

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Watch

Best ask ?

51¢

Volume (24h) ?

$275,982

Liquidity ?

$101,879

Open interest ?

$172,338

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

-1.7%

Momentum ?

-40.2%

Volatility ?

3.0%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • No directional setup under these rules

Rule notes

  • Price momentum and order-book depth do not jointly meet the directional thresholds.

Orderbook

Outcome Iva Jovic

Bids

50¢ 90,834.94
49¢ 11,177.4
48¢ 27.18
45¢ 10

Asks

51¢ 103,886.9
52¢ 60
56¢ 10
95¢ 328.6
99¢ 1,300

Price history

Interval: 6h

10/12/2026, 06:26:19 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:28:19 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:30:20 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:32:20 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:34:20 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:36:21 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:38:14 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:40:20 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:42:19 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:44:19 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:46:20 50.5¢
10/12/2026, 06:47:13 50.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Iva Jovic → 0% 10/12/2026, 06:00:37

The near-even price and balanced depth provide no clear divergence, while the sharp earlier repricing leaves uncertainty about the catalyst.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.