Unified market view

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Data gap

No data

Model edge No model view

Confidence —

Price at model run — Model run: —

Live best ask 20.5¢ Live update: 8/19/2026, 04:47:59

Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 20.5¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $468,262. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/19/2026, 04:47:59

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

20.5¢

Volume (24h) ?

$106,951

Liquidity ?

$468,262

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

60.8%

Momentum ?

-5.5%

Volatility ?

0.3%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

20.4¢ 277.59

20.1¢ 43,420.05

20¢ 11,006

19.9¢ 1,634.61

19.8¢ 209.44

Asks

20.5¢ 2,101.81

20.7¢ 200

20.8¢ 800

20.9¢ 500

21¢ 10,200

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/19/2026, 04:26:13 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:28:12 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:30:14 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:32:09 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:34:10 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:36:10 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:38:20 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:40:14 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:42:10 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:44:12 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:46:09 20.45¢

8/19/2026, 04:47:09 20.45¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades

Sell · Yes 8/19/2026, 01:58:36

$5,030 20.3¢

Sell · Yes 8/19/2026, 01:47:06

$5,407 20.97¢

Sell · No 8/18/2026, 19:54:30

$7,749 78.8¢