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Unified market view

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap
Execution state
No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence
Price at model run Model run: —
Live best ask 65¢ Live update: 9/22/2026, 05:54:44
Conservative Kelly reference Unavailable · matching snapshot or live orderbook data is missing
Model

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 65¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $379,074. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/22/2026, 05:54:44

Model stance

Leans higher

Best ask ?

65¢

Volume (24h) ?

$110,556

Liquidity ?

$379,074

Open interest ?

$1,779,826

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

71.6%

Momentum ?

1.6%

Volatility ?

0.1%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning up
  • Bid depth outweighs asks
  • Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

64¢ 4,803.57
63¢ 13,207.59
62¢ 119,032.02
61¢ 8,179.47
60¢ 29,730.32

Asks

65¢ 8,870.73
66¢ 6,471.44
67¢ 9,629.17
68¢ 3,833
69¢ 129.06

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/22/2026, 05:33:10 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:35:09 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:37:13 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:39:13 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:41:12 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:43:09 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:45:13 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:47:09 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:49:13 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:51:24 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:53:10 64.5¢
9/22/2026, 05:54:09 64.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Yes 9/22/2026, 03:28:33
$13,658 64.82¢
Sell · Yes 9/22/2026, 03:21:56
$9,192 35.29¢
Buy · No 9/21/2026, 18:19:28
$12,379 62¢
Buy · Yes 9/21/2026, 17:43:27
$16,380 63¢
Buy · Yes 9/21/2026, 15:27:20
$11,029 62¢