Unified market view

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap

Execution state

No data

Model edge No model view

Confidence —

Price at model run — Model run: —

Live best ask 43.3¢ Live update: 9/29/2026, 02:15:01

Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · matching snapshot or live orderbook data is missing

Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 43.3¢ · spread 0.9 pts · liquidity $86,534. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/29/2026, 02:15:01

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Leans higher

Best ask ?

43.3¢

Volume (24h) ?

$118,988

Liquidity ?

$86,534

Open interest ?

$2,938,158

Spread ?

0.9¢

Depth imbalance ?

78.9%

Momentum ?

1.7%

Volatility ?

0.3%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Momentum turning up
Bid depth outweighs asks
Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

42.4¢ 103.99

42.3¢ 498.98

42.2¢ 1,371

42.1¢ 1,232.35

42¢ 6,345.36

Asks

43.3¢ 600.05

43.5¢ 83

43.6¢ 16

43.8¢ 229.36

44.1¢ 199.14

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/29/2026, 01:48:18 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 01:50:13 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 01:52:13 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 01:54:17 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 01:56:23 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 01:58:17 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 02:00:20 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 02:02:17 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 02:04:16 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 02:06:16 42.25¢

9/29/2026, 02:08:17 42.9¢

9/29/2026, 02:09:32 43.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.