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Prediction history

Market #616902

8/7/2026, 18:01:29 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 86.7¢

Price is tightly distributed with strong liquidity and a very small spread; the current quote already reflects the base case, leaving no clear buy/sell edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid/ask 0.867/0.868 · High liquidity and tight spread · Recent 1d/1w drift down already priced
Yes bearish ↓ Edge -2% Confidence 58%

Yes trades near 0.867, but the market already prices a high chance of zero cuts; recent drift lower suggests only a modest additional downside edge.