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Unified market view

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap
Execution state
No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence
Price at model run Model run: —
Live best ask 42¢ Live update: 9/23/2026, 16:24:46
Conservative Kelly reference Unavailable · matching snapshot or live orderbook data is missing
Model

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 42¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $74,590. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/23/2026, 16:24:46

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Watch

Best ask ?

42¢

Volume (24h) ?

$149,669

Liquidity ?

$74,590

Open interest ?

$1,027,229

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

67.7%

Momentum ?

-26.5%

Volatility ?

1.2%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • No directional setup under these rules

Rule notes

  • Price momentum and order-book depth do not jointly meet the directional thresholds.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

41¢ 1,109.74
40¢ 70,828.62
39¢ 6,360
38¢ 3,513.74
37¢ 10

Asks

42¢ 998.65
43¢ 845
44¢ 5,394.68
45¢ 8,374.08
46¢ 175

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/23/2026, 16:03:17 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:05:17 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:07:15 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:09:16 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:11:17 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:13:15 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:15:13 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:17:12 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:19:15 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:21:29 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:23:31 41.5¢
9/23/2026, 16:24:30 41.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Yes 9/23/2026, 12:59:43
$10,210 59¢
Sell · No 9/23/2026, 12:59:19
$36,184 41.06¢
Sell · Yes 9/23/2026, 12:58:49
$11,763 43.57¢
Sell · Yes 9/23/2026, 12:30:05
$7,000 50¢
Buy · No 9/23/2026, 12:26:59
$26,132 44¢