Unified market view

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap

Execution state

No data

Model edge No model view

Confidence —

Price at model run — Model run: —

Live best ask 15¢ Live update: 9/8/2026, 07:34:23

Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 15¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $78,271. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/8/2026, 07:34:23

Model stance

Watch

Best ask ?

15¢

Volume (24h) ?

$112,909

Liquidity ?

$78,271

Open interest ?

$378,664

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

4.7%

Momentum ?

0.0%

Volatility ?

1.2%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

14¢ 689.84

13¢ 15,141.57

12¢ 8,424.65

11¢ 7,169.87

10¢ 1,506.96

Asks

15¢ 21,820.44

16¢ 1,625.3

17¢ 2,411.16

18¢ 1,711.71

19¢ 2,422

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/8/2026, 07:11:16 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:13:14 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:15:13 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:17:11 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:19:16 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:21:11 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:23:11 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:25:19 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:27:12 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:29:26 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:31:15 14.5¢

9/8/2026, 07:32:23 14.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · No 9/8/2026, 05:42:25

$11,102 84.98¢

Buy · No 9/7/2026, 17:00:21

$15,400 87¢