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Unified market view

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap
Execution state
No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence
Price at model run Model run: —
Live best ask 38.2¢ Live update: 9/18/2026, 16:58:36
Model

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 38.2¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $279,321. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/18/2026, 16:58:36

Model stance

Leans higher

Best ask ?

38.2¢

Volume (24h) ?

$100,962

Liquidity ?

$279,321

Open interest ?

$1,558,020

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

21.2%

Momentum ?

4.1%

Volatility ?

0.3%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning up
  • Bid depth outweighs asks
  • Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

38.1¢ 1,016.36
38¢ 6,611.45
37.9¢ 1,550
37.7¢ 395.39
37.6¢ 3,068.68

Asks

38.2¢ 5,681.96
38.3¢ 315.66
38.4¢ 1,270
38.7¢ 335.77
39¢ 609.74

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/18/2026, 16:33:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:35:14 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:37:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:39:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:41:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:43:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:45:17 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:47:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:49:28 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:51:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:53:16 38.15¢
9/18/2026, 16:54:16 38.15¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Yes 9/18/2026, 13:11:12
$9,915 37.75¢
Buy · Yes 9/18/2026, 08:36:24
$20,068 36.22¢