Signal Hold Horizon
To expiry Current price
82.2¢
Fairly priced with tight spread and no strong informational edge; current price already incorporates a high continuation probability.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Best bid/ask 0.818/0.824 · Recent 1d/1w drift is small · Order book depth is balanced
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-3% Confidence
61%
Price near 0.822 already implies a high chance Maduro remains leader; order book is balanced and recent drift is mild, leaving limited upside and some room for political transition risk.