Polysage · Electronic cricket fights for Polymarket odds
Electronic cricket fights for Polymarket odds
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Opportunity Markets

Daily Polymarket intelligence: model edge, whale flow, and breaking movers in one decision loop.

Updated at 05/31/2026 13:30:03 UTC+00:00 Edge Using cached data · 26/27 · 05/31/2026 12:02:37 UTC+00:00
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Use this board in three moves Scan the markets that moved, attracted flow, or show model edge. Open detail pages to check model reason, tape, liquidity, and history. Act on Polymarket or subscribe to Telegram when the setup is worth watching.

Today intelligence

Start here: each card explains why the market deserves attention now.

27 markets 11 fresh models 100 large trades 25 movers
Large-trade cluster $977,131

Spurs vs. Thunder

6 notable trades in the 24h tape. Check whether whale flow agrees with the model view before acting.

24h flow6 trades
Model watchlist Yes ↓ -8%

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Model output exists, but it is stale and should not drive action.

Data gapAttention 87
Model watchlist Yes ↓ -6%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No trades near 0.81 with heavy bid depth and Yes trending down over the week; selling Yes/leaning No fits the current pricing.

Watch triggerAttention 77
Model watchlist Yes ↓ -5%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

The market is fairly efficient here: yes is cheap but not obviously mispriced, and the path to a qualifying permanent deal remains highly uncertain.

Watch triggerAttention 74
Breaking mover +56%

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?

Price moved +56% in the last day. Use detail view to check whether the move is exhausted or still tradable.

Momentum100¢
Breaking mover +50%

Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Price moved +50% in the last day. Use detail view to check whether the move is exhausted or still tradable.

Momentum61¢

Large Trades Monitor

Watch notable single trades across all markets. · 24h flow $2,988,544

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Market analysis

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27 markets

Title Yes price Edge 24h volume Liquidity Updated at End date
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
36¢
Yes ↓ -8% Sell Data gap Using cached data 05/28/2026 12:01:46 UTC+00:00
$141,365
$154,156
05/31/2026 13:23:22 UTC+00:00
06/30/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
20¢
Yes ↓ -6% Hold Watch trigger Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:01:22 UTC+00:00
$187,780
$182,919
05/31/2026 13:21:12 UTC+00:00
06/15/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
42¢
Yes ↓ -5% Hold Watch trigger Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:01:11 UTC+00:00
$149,098
$237,077
05/31/2026 13:26:50 UTC+00:00
07/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
29¢
Yes ↓ -4% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/28/2026 12:00:52 UTC+00:00
$182,173
$247,552
05/31/2026 13:26:22 UTC+00:00
06/30/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
50¢
Yes ↓ -4% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/30/2026 12:02:34 UTC+00:00
$145,462
$108,133
05/31/2026 13:22:03 UTC+00:00
07/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
36.1¢
Yes ↓ -3% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/28/2026 12:02:23 UTC+00:00
$1,031,727
$404,700
05/31/2026 13:26:32 UTC+00:00
07/01/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
12¢
Yes ↓ -3% Hold Watch trigger Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:00:35 UTC+00:00
$742,661
$336,812
05/31/2026 13:23:35 UTC+00:00
06/07/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
71¢
Yes ↓ -3% Hold Watch trigger Fresh data 05/31/2026 12:01:52 UTC+00:00
$125,705
$344,076
05/31/2026 13:26:31 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
3.8¢
Yes ↓ -3% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/30/2026 12:00:24 UTC+00:00
$289,115
$72,346
05/31/2026 13:22:38 UTC+00:00
05/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
69¢
Yes ↓ -3% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/27/2026 00:03:09 UTC+00:00
$2,725
$82,809
05/31/2026 13:24:27 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 12:00:00 UTC+00:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
9.9¢
Yes ↑ +2% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/29/2026 12:01:20 UTC+00:00
$485,959
$70,592
05/31/2026 13:26:53 UTC+00:00
07/01/2026 04:00:00 UTC+00:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
72.6¢
Yes ↑ +2% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/29/2026 06:02:59 UTC+00:00
$374,641
$64,990
05/31/2026 13:26:34 UTC+00:00
07/01/2026 04:00:00 UTC+00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
7¢
Yes ↓ -2% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/31/2026 00:01:12 UTC+00:00
$195,881
$300,006
05/31/2026 13:25:11 UTC+00:00
06/15/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
89¢
Yes ↑ +2% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/31/2026 00:02:12 UTC+00:00
$55,885
$72,461
05/31/2026 13:26:10 UTC+00:00
07/19/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
31¢
Yes ↓ -2% Hold Hold: Efficient price Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:02:17 UTC+00:00
$229,511
$222,330
05/31/2026 13:27:12 UTC+00:00
05/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
63.7¢
Yes ↓ -2% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/28/2026 18:02:20 UTC+00:00
$1,131,752
$283,461
05/31/2026 13:24:13 UTC+00:00
07/01/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
0.9¢
Yes ↓ -1% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/29/2026 12:03:10 UTC+00:00
$164,876
$56,937
05/31/2026 13:23:25 UTC+00:00
06/01/2026 04:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
18¢
Yes ↓ -1% Hold Hold: Efficient price Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:01:59 UTC+00:00
$121,850
$582,257
05/31/2026 13:22:28 UTC+00:00
12/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
21.1¢
Yes ↑ +1% Hold Hold: Risky tape Fresh data 05/31/2026 12:02:03 UTC+00:00
$118,804
$33,953
05/31/2026 13:27:08 UTC+00:00
06/30/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2.7¢
Yes ↓ -1% Hold Hold: Efficient price Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:02:28 UTC+00:00
$497,510
$48,114
05/31/2026 13:25:02 UTC+00:00
05/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1.4¢
Yes ↓ -1% Hold Hold: Efficient price Fresh data 05/31/2026 06:02:10 UTC+00:00
$2,431,672
$1,161,743
05/31/2026 13:22:18 UTC+00:00
05/31/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek
100¢
Marta Kostyuk → 0% Hold Hold: Efficient price Fresh data 05/31/2026 12:00:14 UTC+00:00
$2,407,239
$457,319
05/31/2026 13:26:02 UTC+00:00
06/07/2026 09:00:00 UTC+00:00
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
27¢
— Data gap —
$1,340,287
$122,334
05/31/2026 13:26:11 UTC+00:00
06/07/2026 09:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17.1¢
Yes → 0% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/30/2026 06:01:24 UTC+00:00
$786,978
$803,293
05/31/2026 13:22:44 UTC+00:00
07/20/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16.9¢
Yes → 0% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/30/2026 06:01:49 UTC+00:00
$642,975
$461,467
05/31/2026 13:22:02 UTC+00:00
07/20/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10¢
Yes → 0% Hold Hold: Efficient price Fresh data 05/31/2026 12:00:50 UTC+00:00
$461,697
$843,347
05/31/2026 13:25:42 UTC+00:00
07/20/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11.3¢
Yes → 0% Hold Data gap Using cached data 05/30/2026 12:01:39 UTC+00:00
$378,920
$1,320,661
05/31/2026 13:27:18 UTC+00:00
07/20/2026 00:00:00 UTC+00:00