Unified market view

Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

View live market Follow alerts Share to X

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Model leans lower

Data gap

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Yes ↓ -4%

Confidence 59%

Price at model run 16.5¢ Model run: 10/3/2026, 12:03:05

Live best ask 17¢ Live update: 10/3/2026, 21:54:09

Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · the prediction snapshot is stale

Model OpenAI

Model output exists, but it is stale and should not guide a current view.

Watch triggers

A mandatory statewide moratorium bill advances
Texas lawmakers signal support for a qualifying ban
Policy remains limited to local rules or incentives

Why confirmation is still needed

Model output exists, but it is stale and should not guide a current view.

Revisit when

A mandatory statewide moratorium bill advances · Texas lawmakers signal support for a qualifying ban · Policy remains limited to local rules or incentives

Execution guard

Price 17¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $78,993. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 10/3/2026, 21:54:09

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Watch

Best ask ?

17¢

Volume (24h) ?

$183,411

Liquidity ?

$78,993

Open interest ?

$66,175

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

52.4%

Momentum ?

0.0%

Volatility ?

0.0%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

No directional setup under these rules

Rule notes

Price momentum and order-book depth do not jointly meet the directional thresholds.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

16¢ 4,425.82

15¢ 18,687.35

14¢ 95,741

13¢ 506.92

12¢ 1,000

Asks

17¢ 7,747.73

18¢ 7,542

19¢ 4,892.28

20¢ 14,886.39

21¢ 2,500

Price history

Interval: 6h

10/3/2026, 21:32:31 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:34:31 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:36:46 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:38:15 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:40:17 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:42:20 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:44:19 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:46:19 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:48:18 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:50:16 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:52:16 16.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:53:14 16.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Yes ↓ -4% 10/3/2026, 12:03:05

Estimated Yes probability is about 12%, below the 16.5% market price. The recent sharp repricing adds uncertainty; reassess if a qualifying statewide bill gains traction or legislative signals change.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · No 10/3/2026, 18:22:50

$11,771 94¢