Unified market view

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

Model leans lower

Data gap

Execution state

Needs confirmation

Model edge Yes ↓ -3%

Confidence 55%

Price at model run 25¢ Model run: 10/3/2026, 06:02:45

Live best ask 16¢ Live update: 10/3/2026, 21:54:10

Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · the prediction snapshot is stale

Model OpenAI

Model output exists, but it is stale and should not guide a current view.

Watch triggers

Reassess if a qualifying statewide bill advances.
Reassess if legislative leaders oppose a moratorium.
Distinguish binding bans from incentive limits or local pauses.

Why confirmation is still needed

Model output exists, but it is stale and should not guide a current view.

Revisit when

Reassess if a qualifying statewide bill advances. · Reassess if legislative leaders oppose a moratorium. · Distinguish binding bans from incentive limits or local pauses.

Execution guard

Price 16¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $117,001. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 10/3/2026, 21:54:10

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Watch

Best ask ?

16¢

Volume (24h) ?

$333,881

Liquidity ?

$117,001

Open interest ?

$1,653,297

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

49.6%

Momentum ?

-24.4%

Volatility ?

2.1%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

No directional setup under these rules

Rule notes

Price momentum and order-book depth do not jointly meet the directional thresholds.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

15¢ 860.57

14¢ 63,740.45

13¢ 25,567.4

12¢ 10,267

11¢ 7,953.34

Asks

16¢ 9,703.01

17¢ 13,719.75

18¢ 9,117.85

24¢ 2,000

25¢ 2,000

Price history

Interval: 6h

10/3/2026, 21:32:31 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:34:31 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:36:46 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:38:15 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:40:17 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:42:20 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:44:19 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:46:19 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:48:19 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:50:16 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:52:16 15.5¢

10/3/2026, 21:53:14 15.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Yes ↓ -3% 10/3/2026, 06:02:45

The Yes contract appears modestly above model fair value, but uncertainty remains because the deadline is years away and policy pressure could grow.

Related whale flow

All trades

Sell · Yes 10/3/2026, 17:00:27

$5,663 13.96¢

Buy · No 10/3/2026, 11:23:18

$6,190 88¢