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Prediction history

Market #1931104

7/4/2026, 12:01:35 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 38.4¢

Current price is close to a fair midpoint for a speculative long-dated NBA move; limited edge and decent two-sided liquidity favor waiting.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Bid depth slightly exceeds ask depth · 1h price is stable · 7d move already steep
Yes bullish ↑ Edge +1% Confidence 42%

Price implies ~38.4%; recent orderbook shows slight bid support and 1h stability, but the market has already moved sharply over the week and no fresh catalyst is evident.