Signal Hold Horizon
To expiry Current price
12¢
Price has risen sharply with high short-term volatility, but the edge is small and current liquidity/spread do not justify an aggressive position.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers 1d price up sharply · short-term volatility elevated · orderbook spread still tight
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-2% Confidence
62%
Market price implies a low chance, but Haaland remains a plausible top-scorer if Norway exceed expectations. Still, strong competition and early price run-up leave only a small downside edge.