Yes ↑ +2% 5/29/2026, 12:01:20
Momentum is bullish for Yes, but the current price already reflects the move and fundamentals remain uncertain. Spread is manageable, yet the move looks mostly sentiment-driven rather than evidence...
Unified market view
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Decision state
Hold: Risky tape
Hold
Model edge Yes ↑ +2%
Confidence 58%
Current price 31.1¢
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Momentum is bullish for Yes, but the current price already reflects the move and fundamentals remain uncertain. Spread is manageable, yet the move looks mostly sentiment-driven rather than evidence...
Watch triggers
- Yes price up sharply over 1d/1w
- Yes bid depth exceeds ask depth
- No sale evidence in provided data
Why not now
Momentum is bullish for Yes, but the current price already reflects the move and fundamentals remain uncertain. Spread is manageable, yet the move looks mostly sentiment-driven rather than evidence...
Revisit when
Yes price up sharply over 1d/1w · Yes bid depth exceeds ask depth · No sale evidence in provided data
Execution guard
Price 31.1¢ · spread 1.4 pts · liquidity $44,055. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 5/31/2026, 14:36:00
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
8.5¢Volume (24h) ?
$556,487Liquidity ?
$56,846Open interest ?
—Spread ?
0.6¢Depth imbalance ?
20.4%Momentum ?
-44.9%Volatility ?
5.7%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Yes
Bids
8¢ 1,086.53
7.9¢ 400
7.8¢ 1,000
7.4¢ 500
7.3¢ 200
Asks
8.6¢ 35.33
8.7¢ 249.95
8.9¢ 604.19
9¢ 259.59
9.1¢ 959.17
Price history
Interval: 6h
5/31/2026, 14:14:03 8.15¢
5/31/2026, 14:16:06 8.25¢
5/31/2026, 14:18:05 8.3¢
5/31/2026, 14:20:07 8.4¢
5/31/2026, 14:22:06 8.45¢
5/31/2026, 14:24:05 8.55¢
5/31/2026, 14:26:03 8.5¢
5/31/2026, 14:28:03 8.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:30:05 8.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:32:05 8.05¢
5/31/2026, 14:34:09 8.25¢
5/31/2026, 14:35:04 8.35¢
Prediction history
Full historyYes ↓ -3% 5/29/2026, 06:01:10
Price has moved up fast, but there is no clear informational catalyst or liquidity dislocation to justify chasing here.
Yes ↓ -1% 5/28/2026, 18:01:55
Yes is still cheap in absolute terms, but the recent spike appears momentum-driven without strong confirmation of an actual Bitcoin sale.
Related whale flow
All tradesBuy · No 5/31/2026, 13:08:19
$16,912 92.87¢
Buy · No 5/31/2026, 13:08:03
$7,872 91.78¢
Buy · No 5/31/2026, 13:07:40
$13,216 89¢
Buy · No 5/31/2026, 03:36:40
$6,918 86.95¢
Buy · No 5/30/2026, 22:37:34
$7,612 84.93¢