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Prediction history

Market #2386704

5/31/2026, 12:00:14 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

The market is extremely efficient near 1.0 with tiny spread and heavy liquidity; current price already embeds near-certain Kostyuk win.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid 0.999 / last 0.999 · No meaningful edge at current price · High liquidity, tight spread
Marta Kostyuk neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 99%

Price is already at 0.999, leaving essentially no upside. Strong momentum is reflected, but there is no meaningful edge left at this level.