Polysage · Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek
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Unified market view

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Marta Kostyuk → 0%
Confidence 99%
Current price 99.9¢
Model gpt-5.4-mini

The market is extremely efficient near 1.0 with tiny spread and heavy liquidity; current price already embeds near-certain Kostyuk win.

Watch triggers
  • Best bid 0.999 / last 0.999
  • No meaningful edge at current price
  • High liquidity, tight spread
Why not now

The market is extremely efficient near 1.0 with tiny spread and heavy liquidity; current price already embeds near-certain Kostyuk win.

Revisit when

Best bid 0.999 / last 0.999 · No meaningful edge at current price · High liquidity, tight spread

Execution guard

Price 99.9¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $487,612. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 5/31/2026, 14:36:42

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$2,426,695

Liquidity ?

$135,975

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

277.2%

Volatility ?

9.3%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Marta Kostyuk

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

5/31/2026, 14:13:04 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:15:03 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:17:05 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:19:03 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:21:06 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:23:04 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:25:03 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:27:04 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:29:04 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:31:06 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:33:03 99.95¢
5/31/2026, 14:35:04 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Marta Kostyuk → 0% 5/31/2026, 12:00:14

The market is extremely efficient near 1.0 with tiny spread and heavy liquidity; current price already embeds near-certain Kostyuk win.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Iga Swiatek 5/31/2026, 08:27:12
$80,062 73.98¢
Buy · Iga Swiatek 5/31/2026, 08:25:36
$68,194 73.77¢
Buy · Iga Swiatek 5/31/2026, 08:25:36
$96,035 74¢
Buy · Iga Swiatek 5/31/2026, 08:18:22
$66,431 72.98¢