Polysage · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
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Unified market view

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Data gap

No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence
Current price 82¢
Model

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 82¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $121,986. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 6/14/2026, 10:56:55

Signal

Buy

Best ask ?

82¢

Volume (24h) ?

$225,576

Liquidity ?

$121,986

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

65.7%

Momentum ?

1.9%

Volatility ?

0.4%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning up
  • Bid depth outweighs asks
  • Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

81¢ 1,848.04
80¢ 2,582.23
79¢ 2,812
78¢ 6,102.83
77¢ 6,817.91

Asks

82¢ 1,097.99
83¢ 863.62
84¢ 925.51
85¢ 675.44
86¢ 610

Price history

Interval: 6h

6/14/2026, 10:35:04 82.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:37:05 82.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:39:04 82.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:41:03 82.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:43:05 81.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:45:05 81.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:47:04 81.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:49:05 82¢
6/14/2026, 10:51:04 81.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:53:04 81.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:55:08 81.5¢
6/14/2026, 10:56:05 81.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.